A new poll finds President Joe Biden’s approval rating hit its highest level for the year as women increasingly engage in midterm elections.
According to a new Emerson College Poll:
Emerson College Polling’s latest national survey of voters finds President Joe Biden had his highest approval all year according to an Emerson poll, at 45% approval and 49% disapproval. Five percent are neutral. Since last month, his approval has increased by three points and his disapproval has decreased by two points.
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said: “Biden’s surge in approval appears to be driven by female voters. Since July, female voters’ approval of the president has jumped 10 points, from 39% to 49%.
Emerson is rated as an A+ pollster by 538, so this is a reliable and credible poll.
Analysis: The 2022 midterm is made up of several different elections rolled into one
The Emerson poll shows the lack of clarity in the election for control of the House. The generic Congressional ballot is tied at 45%, with 10% of those polled undecided. Essentially, this means the House is up for grabs.
Because of the redistricting, the Republicans have the advantage, but the Democrats have the problem that motivates the voters the most (abortion).
It’s also an election about the economy, and that’s where the Republicans have their edge. The party out of power will always be favored by voters in times of economic crisis, and the issue of inflation plays in favor of the Republicans. The GOP tries to use immigration to drive its voters to the polls, but the immigration issue cannot match the motivation of the abortion issue in terms of intensity.
A contested third midterm election in 2022 is the battle to protect and save democracy. The Democrats have a large advantage on this issue thanks to the Committee 1/6 hearings and Donald Trump’s insistence on getting involved midterm. Trump’s legal troubles and headline dominance have also served to undermine Republican messaging and remind voters of what’s at stake in 2022.
Republicans were hoping to use a race-against-the-economy and President Biden strategy to gain control of the House and Senate, but Biden’s numbers are bouncing back, and he’s proven to be a very effective messenger for voters on both the issue of women’s reproductive rights and the battle for democracy.
Biden is not the Democratic accountability Republicans were hoping for. With about six weeks until Election Day, the outcome may be decided whether or not the Democratic momentum can seal the deal with voters and keep them under the scrutiny of all or part of Congress.
Mr. Easley is the editor. He is also a member of the White House press pool and a congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason holds a bachelor’s degree in political science. His graduate studies focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and Professional Memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association