IGM-FTmid -September survey:
“This slice of the FTxIGM Survey of US Macroeconomists discusses the likelihood of the Fed raising and maintaining a higher interest rate. It also examines the possibility of a recession occurring sooner than expected.
The modal response for the start of the US recession is 2023Q1-Q2. Only 14% think a recession has already started or will start by 2022Q4.
In contrast, the modal response for the Eurozone is that a recession begins by the end of the year.