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Home » Record monthly mortgage payments year over year
Economy

Record monthly mortgage payments year over year

September 25, 2022No Comments2 Mins Read
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by Risk calculated on 25/09/2022 11:58:00

Friday, the average The 30-year mortgage rate reaches 6.7% for zero points and higher level scenarios. This is the highest rate in 14 years and is close to the highest rate in over 20 years (over 6.76% will be the highest since the start of 2002).

Here is a chart showing the 30 year rate using Freddie Mac PMMSand MND for last week.

Mortgage rates Click on the graphic to enlarge the image.

It’s a graphic from Mortgage News Daily (MND) showing 30-year fixed rates from three sources (MND, MBA, Freddie Mac) over the past 5 years.

Yes, the rates were much higher in the 1980 period, but it is the evolution of monthly payments that impacts housing. Monthly payments include principal, interest, taxes, insurance (PITI) and sometimes HOA (Homeowners Association) fees. We might also include maintenance, utilities and other costs.

The following graph shows the year-over-year change in principal and interest (P&I) assuming a fixed loan amount since 1977. Currently, P&I is up about 52% year-over-year another for a fixed amount (this does not take into account the evolution of real estate prices).

Mortgage paymentsThis is above the previous record increase of 50% in 1980. This assumed a fixed loan amount – if we add the year-on-year increase in property prices, payments would increase around 65% year-on-year for the same house.

This is one of the reasons I argued in my real estate newsletter Housing: don’t compare the current housing boom to the bubble and bustLook instead to the period 1978 to 1982 for the lessons.

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